2024 Grammy Predictions - Grammy Week Recap

This post is a recap of my predictions for the Grammys.  In addition to the winner, I ranked each in order by likelihood of winning in my opinion (note that this is not the order that I think they will finish in; rather, this is the order of who I think is most likely to win, which would most likely not match the final vote tallies, which are never released).  For more information about each award, check out the corresponding podcast episode.  I'll give the caveat that I was torn between a few for several awards, so it's entirely possible that the overall percentage of awards that I get right is not high; that said, I expect several that I get wrong will include ones where the winner was one I thought was possible.

General Field

Record of the Year

1. “Flowers”, Miley Cyrus
2. “Anti-Hero”, Taylor Swift
3. “Kill Bill”, SZA
4. “What Was I Made For?”, Billie Eilish
5. “Not Strong Enough”, Boygenius
6. “Worship”, Jon Batiste
7. “On My Mama”, Victoria Monet
8. “Vampire”, Olivia Rodrigo

Album of the Year

1. Midnights, Taylor Swift
2. World Music Radio, Jon Batiste
3. The Record, Boygenius
4. SOS, SZA
5. Did You Know That There’s a Tunnel Under Ocean Blvd, Lana Del Rey
6. The Age of Pleasure, Janelle Monae
7. Endless Summer Vacation, Miley Cyrus
8. Guts, Olivia Rodrigo

Song of the Year

1. “Anti-Hero”, Taylor Swift
2. “Kill Bill”, SZA
3. “What Was I Made For?”, Billie Eilish
4. “Flowers”, Miley Cyrus
5. “Butterfly”, Jon Batiste
6. “Vampire”, Olivia Rodrigo
7. “Dance the Night”, Dua Lipa
8. “A&W”, Lana Del Rey

Best New Artist

1. Victoria Monet
2. Noah Kahan
3. The War and Treaty
4. Ice Spice
5. Jelly Roll
6. Fred Again
7. Coco Jones
8. Gracie Abrams

Producer of the Year, Non-Classical

1. Jack Antonoff
2. Hit-Boy
3. Dernst “D’Mile” Emile II
4. Metro Boomin
5. Dan Nigro

Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical

1. Shane McAnally
2. Theron Thomas
3. Jessie Joe Dillon
4. Edgar Barrera
5. Justin Tranter

 

Pop & Dance/Electronic

Best Pop Solo Performance

1. “Flowers”, Miley Cyrus
2. “What Was I Made For?”, Billie Eilish
3. “Anti-Hero”, Taylor Swift
4. “Vampire”, Olivia Rodrigo
5. “Paint the Town Red”, Doja Cat

Best Pop Duo/Group Performance

1. “Karma”, Taylor Swift feat. Ice Spice
2. “Ghost in the Machine”, SZA feat. Phoebe Bridgers
3. “Candy Necklace”, Lana Del Rey feat. Jon Batiste
4. “Thousand Miles”, Miley Cyrus feat. Brandi Carlile
5. “Never Felt So Alone”, Labrinth feat. Billie Eilish

Best Pop Vocal Album

1. Midnights, Taylor Swift
2. -, Ed Sheeran
3. Endless Summer Vacation, Miley Cyrus
4. Guts, Olivia Rodrigo
5. Chemistry, Kelly Clarkson

Best Dance/Electronic Recording

1. “Rumble”, Skrillex, Fred Again & Flowdan
2. “Higher Than Ever Before”, Disclosure
3. “Strong”, Romy & Fred Again
4. “Loading”, James Blake
5. “Blackbox Life Recorder 21F”, Aphex Twin

Best Pop Dance Recording

1. “Padam Padam”, Kylie Minogue
2. “Baby Don’t Hurt Me”, David Guetta, Anne-Marie, & Coi Leray
3. “Rush”, Troye Sivan
4. “One in a Million”, Bebe Rexha & David Guetta
5. “Miracle”, Calvin Harris feat. Ellie Goulding

Best Dance/Electronic Album

1. For That Beautiful Feeling, The Chemical Brothers
2. Quest for Fire – Skrillex
3. Actual Life 3 (January 1 – September 9 2022), Fred Again
4. Kx5 – Kx5
5. Playing Robots into Heaven, James Blake

 

Rock, Metal & Alternative

Best Rock Performance

1. “Rescued”, Foo Fighters
2. “Not Strong Enough”, Boygenius
3. “More than a Love Song”, Black Pumas
4. “Lux AEterna”, Metallica
5. “Sculptures of Anything Goes”, Arctic Monkeys

Best Metal Performance

1. “72 Seasons”, Metallica
2. “Hive Mind”, Slipknot
3. “Phantom of the Opera”, Ghost
4. “Jaded”, Spiritbox
5. “Bad Man”, Disturbed

Best Rock Song

1. “Rescued”, Foo Fighters
2. “Not Strong Enough”, Boygenius
3. “Angry”, The Rolling Stones
4. “Ballad of a Homeschooled Girl”, Olivia Rodrigo
5. “Emotional Sickness”, Queens of the Stone Age

Best Rock Album

1. But Here We Are, Foo Fighters
2. 72 Seasons, Metallica
3. Starcatcher, Greta Van Fleet
4. In Times New Roman…, Queens of the Stone Age
5. This Is Why, Paramore

Best Alternative Performance

1. “Body Paint”, Arctic Monkeys
2. “Cool About It”, Boygenius
3. “This Is Why”, Paramore
4. “A&W”, Lana Del Rey
5. “Belinda Says”, Alvvays

Best Alternative Music Album

1. The Record, Boygenius
2. The Car, Arctic Monkeys
3. Did You Know That There’s a Tunnel Under Ocean Blvd, Lana Del Rey
4. Cracker Island, Gorillaz
5. I Inside the Old Year Dying, PJ Harvey

 

R&B, Rap and Spoken Word Poetry

Best R&B Performance

1. “Kill Bill”, SZA
2. “ICU”, Coco Jones
3. “How Does It Make You Feel”, Victoria Monet
4. “Back to Love”, Robert Glasper feat. Sir & Alex Isley
5. “Summer Too Hot”, Chris Brown

Best Traditional R&B Performance

1. “Simple”, Babyface feat. Coco Jones
2. “Hollywood”, Victoria Monet feat. Earth, Wind & Fire & Hazel Monet
3. “Love Language”, SZA
4. “Good Morning”, PJ Morton feat. Susan Carol
5. “Lucky”, Kenyon Dixon

Best R&B Song

1. “On My Mama”, Victoria Monet
2. “ICU”, Coco Jones
3. “Back to Love”, Robert Glasper feat. Sir & Alex Isley
4. “Angel”, Halle Bailey
5. “Snooze”, SZA

Best Progressive R&B Album

1. SOS, SZA
2. The Age of Pleasure, Janelle Monae
3. The Love Album:  Off the Grid, Diddy
4. Since I Have a Lover, 6lack
5. Nova, Terrace Martin & James Fauntleroy

Best R&B Album

1. Girls Night Out, Babyface
2. Jaguar II, Victoria Monet
3. Clear 2:  Soft Life (EP), Summer Walker
4. What I Didn’t Tell You (Deluxe), Coco Jones
5. Special Occasion, Emily King

Best Rap Performance

1. “The Hillbillies”, Baby Keem feat. Kendrick Lamar
2. “Love Letter”, Black Thought
3. “Rich Flex”, Drake & 21 Savage
4. “Players”, Coi Leray
5. “Scientists & Engineers”, Killer Mike feat. Andre 3000, Future & Eryn Allen Kane

Best Melodic Rap Performance

1. “Spin Bout U”, Drake & 21 Savage
2. “All My Life”, Lil Durk feat. J. Cole
3. “Low”, SZA
4. “Sittin’ on Top of the World”, Burna Boy feat. 21 Savage
5. “Attention”, Doja Cat

Best Rap Song

1. “Rich Flex”, Drake & 21 Savage
2. “Scientists & Engineers”, Killer Mike feat. Andre 3000, Future & Eryn Allen Kane
3. “Barbie World”, Nicki Minaj & Ice Spice feat. Aqua
4. “Just Wanna Rock”, Lil Uzi Vert
5. “Attention”, Doja Cat

Best Rap Album

1. King’s Disease III, Nas
2. Her Loss, Drake & 21 Savage
3. Utopia, Travis Scott
4. Michael, Killer Mike
5. Heroes & Villains, Metro Boomin

Best Spoken Word Poetry Album

1. The Light Inside, J. Ivy
2. When The Poems Do What They Do, Aja Monet
3. A-You're Not Wrong B-They're Not Either: The Fukc-It Pill Revisited, Queen Sheba
4. Grocery Shopping with My Mother, Kevin Powell
5. For Your Consideration'24 – The Album, Prentice Powell & Shawn William

 

Jazz, Traditional Pop, Contemporary Instrumental & Musical Theater

Best Traditional Pop Vocal Album

1. Only the Strong Survive, Bruce Springsteen
2. Bewitched, Laufey
3. Sondheim Unplugged (The NYC Sessions), Vol. 3, Various Artists
4. Holidays Around the World, Pentatonix
5. To Steve with Love:  Liz Callaway Celebrates Sondheim, Liz Callaway
6. Pieces of Treasure, Rickie Lee Jones

 

Country & American Roots

Best Country Solo Performance

1. “White Horse”, Chris Stapleton
2. “The Last Thing on My Mind”, Dolly Parton
3. “Fast Car”, Luke Combs
4. “Buried”, Brandy Clark
5. “In Your Love”, Tyler Childers

Best Country Duo/Group Performance

1. “I Remember Everything”, Zach Bryan feat. Kacey Musgraves
2. “We Don’t Fight Anymore”, Carly Pearce feat. Chris Stapleton
3. “Nobody’s Nobody”, Brothers Osborne
4. “Kissing Your Picture (Is So Cold)”, Vince Gil & Paul Franklin
5. “Save Me”, Jelly Roll w/ Lainey Wilson
6. “High Note”, Dierks Bentley feat. Billy Strings

Best Country Song

1. “White Horse”, Chris Stapleton
2. “I Remember Everything”, Zach Bryan feat. Kacey Musgraves
3. “Buried”, Brandy Clark
4. “Last Night”, Morgan Wallen
5. “In Your Love”, Tyler Childers

Best Country Album

1. Bell Bottom Country, Lainey Wilson
2. Brothers Osborne, Brothers Osborne
3. Rolling Up the Welcome Mat, Kelsea Ballerini
4. Zach Bryan, Zach Bryan
5. Rustin’ in the Rain, Tyler Childers

Best American Roots Performance

1. “Butterfly”, Jon Batiste
2. “You Louisiana Man”, Rhiannon Giddens
3. “Eve Was Black”, Allison Russell
4. “Inventing the Wheel”, Madison Cunningham
5. “Heaven Help Us All”, The Blind Boys of Alabama

Best Americana Performance

1. “Dear Insecurity”, Brandy Clark feat. Brandi Carlile
2. “Help Me Make It Through the Night”, Tyler Childers
3. “King of Oklahoma”, Jason Isbell and the 400 Unit
4. “The Returner”, Allison Russell
5. “Friendship”, The Blind Boys of Alabama

Best American Roots Song

1. “Dear Insecurity”, Brandy Clark feat. Brandi Carlile
2. “Cast Iron Skillet”, Jason Isbell and the 400 Unit
3. “California Sober”, Billy Strings feat. Willie Nelson
4. “Blank Page”, The War and Treaty
5. “The Returner”, Allison Russell

Best Americana Album

1. Brandy Clark, Brandy Clark
2. Weathervanes, Jason Isbell and the 400 Unit
3. The Returner, Allison Russell
4. The Chicago Sessions, Rodney Crowell
5. You’re the One, Rhiannon Giddens

Best Bluegrass Album

1. Bluegrass, Willie Nelson
2. Me/And/Dad, Billy Strings
3. City of Gold, Molly Tuttle & Golden Highway
4. Lovin’ on the Game, Michael Cleveland
5. Radio John:  Songs of John Hartford, Sam Bush
6. Mighty Poplar, Mighty Poplar

Best Folk Album

1. Joni Mitchell at Newport, Joni Mitchell
2. Seven Psalms, Paul Simon
3. Jubilee, Old Crow Medicine Show
4. Folkocracy, Rufus Wainwright
5. Celebrants, Nickel Creek
6. I Only See the Moon, The Milk Carton Kids
7. Traveling Wildfire, Don Flemons

 

Gospel & Contemporary Christian

Best Gospel Performance/Song

1. “All Things”, Kirk Franklin
2. “Feel Alright (Blessed)”, Erica Campbell
3. “God Is Good”, Stanley Brown feat. Hezekiah Walker, Kierra Sheard & Karen Clark Sheard
4. “Lord Do It for Me (Live)”, Zacardi Cortez
5. “God Is”, Melvin Crispell III

Best Contemporary Cristian Music Performance/Song

1. “Thank God I Do”, Lauren Daigle
2. “Love Me Like I Am”, for KING & COUNTRY feat. Jordin Sparks
3. “God Problems”, Maverick City Music, Chandler Moore & Naomi Raine
4. “Firm Foundation (He Won’t) [Live]”, Cody Carnes
5. “Your Power”, Lecrae & Tasha Cobbs Leonard
6. “Believe”, Blessing Offor

Best Gospel Album

1. The Maverick Way, Maverick City Music
2. I Love You, Erica Campbell
3. My Truth, Jonathan McReynolds
4. Hymns (Live), Tasha Cobbs Leonard
5. All Things New:  Live in Orlando, Tye Tribbett

Best Contemporary Christian Music Album

1. Lauren Daigle, Lauren Daigle
2. I Believe, Phil Wickham
3. Church Clothes 4, Lecrae
4. My Tribe, Blessing Offor
5. Emanuel, Da’ T.R.U.T.H.

Best Roots Gospel Album

1. Shine:  The Darker the Night the Brighter the Light, Gaither Vocal Band
2. Echoes of the South, Blind Boys of Alabama
3. Tribute to the King, Blackwood Brothers Quartet
4. Meet Me at the Cross, Brian Free & Assurance
5. Songs That Pulled Me Through Tough Times, Becky Isaacs Bowman

 

Latin, Global, African, Reggae & New Age, Ambient or Chant

Best Latin Pop Album

1. Don Juan, Maluma
2. X Mi (Vol. 1), Gaby Morena
3. La Cuarta Hoja, Pablo Alboran
4. A Ciegas, Paula Arenas
5. La Neta, Pedro Capo
6. Beautiful Humans, Vol. 1, AleMor

Best Musica Urbana Album

1. Manana Sera Bonito, Karol G
2. Data, Tainy
3. Saturno, Rauw Alejandro

Best Latin Rock or Alternative Album

1. Vida Cotidiana, Juanes
2. De Todas las Flores, Natalia Lafourcade
3. EADDA9223, Fito Paez
4. Leche de Tigre, Diamante Electrico
5. MARTINEZ, Cabra

Best Musica Mexicana Album (including Tejano)

1. Genesis, Peso Pluma
2. La Sanchez, Lila Downs
3. Amor Como en las Peliculas de Antes, Lupita Infante
4. Bordado a Mano, Ana Barbara
5. Motherflower, Flor de Toloache

Best Tropical Latin Album

1. Siembra: 45° Aniversario (En Vivo en el Coliseo de Puerto Rico, 14 de Mayo 2022), Ruben Blades & Robert Delgado & Orquesta
2. Escalona Nunca se Habia Grabado Asi, Carlos Vives
3. Voy a Ti, Luis Figueroa
4. Niche Sinfonica, Grupo Niche & Orquesta Sinfonica Nacional de Colombia
5. Mimy & Tony, Tony Succar & Mimy Succar
6. Vida, Omara Portuondo

Best Global Music Performance

1. “Alone”, Burna Boy
2. “Shadow Forces”, Arooj Aftab, Vijay Iyer, & Shahzad Ismaily
3. “FEEL”, Davido
4. “Pashto”, Bela Fleck, Edgar Meyer, & Zakir Hussain feat. Rakesh Chaurasia
5. “Milagro y Desastre”, Silvana Estrada
6. “Todo Colores”, Ibrahim Maalouf feat. Cimafunk & Tank and the Bankas
7. “Abundance in Millets”, Falu & Gaurav Shah feat. PM Narendra Modi

Best African Music Performance

1. “Water”, Tyla
2. “City Boys”, Burna Boys
3. “UNAVAILABLE”, Davido feat. Musa Keys
4. “Rush”, Ayra Starr
5. “Amapiano”, Asake & Olamide

Best Global Music Album

1. I Told Them…, Burna Boy
2. This Moment, Shakti
3. Timeless, Davido
4. Epifanias, Susana Baca
5. History, Bokante

Best Reggae Album

1. No Destroyer, Burning Spear
2. Colors of Royal, Julian Marley & Antaeus
3. Simma, Beenie Man
4. Born for Greatness, Buju Banton
5. Cali Roots Riddim 2023, Collie Buddz

 

Children's, Comedy, Audio Book Narration & Storytelling, Visual Media & Music Video/Film

Best Comedy Album

1. What’s In a Name, Dave Chappelle
2. Selective Outrage, Chris Rock
3. I’m an Entertainer, Wanda Sykes
4. I Wish You Would, Trevor Noah
5. Someone You Love, Sarah Silverman

Best Audio Book, Narration & Storytelling Recording

1. The Light We Carry:  Overcoming in Uncertain Times, Michelle Obama
2. Big Tree, Meryl Streep
3. It’s OK to be Angry About Capitalism, Bernie Sanders
4. The Creative Act:  A Way of Being, Rick Rubin
5. Boldly Go:  Reflections on a Life of Aw and Wonder, William Shatner

Best Compilation Soundtrack for Visual Media

1. Barbie the Album
2. Black Panther:  Wakanda Forever
3. Aurora, Daisy Jones & the Six
4. Weird:  The Al Yankovic Story
5. Guardians of the Galaxy, Vol. 3:  Awesome Mix, Vol. 3

Best Song Written for Visual Media

1. “What Was I Made For?”, Billie Eilish (Barbie)
2. “Lift Me Up”, Rihanna (Black Panther:  Wakanda Forever)
3. “I’m Just Ken”, Ryan Gosling (Barbie)
4. “Dance the Night”, Dua Lipa (Barbie)
5. “Barbie World”, Nicki Minaj & Ice Spice feat. Aqua (Barbie)

Best Music Video

1. “What Was I Made For?”, Billie Eilish
2. “I’m Only Sleeping”, The Beatles
3. “Rush”, Troye Sivan
4. “Count Me Out”, Kendrick Lamar
5. “In Your Love”, Tyler Childers

Best Music Film

1. Dear Mama (Tupac Shakur)
2. Moonage Daydream (David Bowie)
3. I Am Everything (Little Richard)
4. Life From Paris, The Big Steppers Tour (Kendrick Lamar)
5. How I’m Feeling Now (Lewis Capaldi)

 

Production, Engineering, Composition & Arrangement

Best Remixed Recording, Non-Classical

1. “Workin’ Hard” (Terry Hunter Remix), Mariah Carey
2. “New Gold” (Dom Dolla Remix), Gorillaz feat. Tame Impala & Bootie Brown
3. “Reviver”, (Totally Enormous Extinct Dinosaurs Remix), Lane 8
4. “Wagging Tongue” (Wet Leg Remix), Depeche Mode
5. “Alien Love Call”, Turnstile & BadBadNotGood feat. Blood Orange

Best Engineered Album, Non-Classical

1. The Record, Boygenius
2. Jaguar II, Victoria Monet
3. Multitudes, Feist
4. Desire, I Want to Turn Into You, Caroline Polachek
5. History, Bokante

What do you think of my predictions?  Who do you think will win some of the awards?  Let me know in the comments!